Guo jin min tui problems in China

Chinese academy of social sciences industrial economy published on August 9, a questionnaire survey of economists suggest, the vast majority of scholars of China's recent economic situation is not optimistic.

Against 100 domestic economic scholars in the survey, 21% of respondents believe that China's economy in the near future will still be the risk of falling, 78% of the economists surveyed said they were also over a period of time to maintain the status quo, only 1% of the respondents said the economy will turn up.On the day of the national bureau of statistics released in July, according to the consumer price index (CPI) rose 2.7% year-on-year, the producer price index (PPI) fell 2.3% year on year, the industrial added value increased by 9.7% as compared with the actual. In addition to the PPI, most economic indicators are better than in June, July, however, is still lower than the annual control goal level.

Most economists believe that China's economy is unlikely to return to the era of double-digit growth. Nearly seventy percent of the respondents said the next 30 years of China's growth will be 6% to 7% and stable development; About 27% of the respondents thought the next 30 years of China's economic growth will continue in the 3% to 5%. A tiny part of scholars believe that China will continue to maintain more than 8% of the growth in the future.Participate in the survey of the Chinese academy of social sciences industrial economy Dr Li Gang judgment, the average annual economic growth since China's reform and opening up is 9.8%, even if the future growth dropped to 6% 7%, is still relatively high speed. At this rate, 30 years after China's economy is now five to eight times. "The next 30 years China will still is one of the main global growth momentum."

Although only 2.7% of the CPI growth in July, less than 3.5% of the annual target, but the price will not down the basic consensus, more than fifty percent of respondents think that prices will trend to rise within a year, forty percent said prices were little changed in a year.Li Gang said, at present the academic thought, the next step of reform needs to be more emphasis on fair, at the same time solve the problem of "guo jin min tui".Academy in this year's survey, recognition of "priority to efficiency and due consideration to fairness" economists proportion was only 20%. In a 2009 survey, the proportion is as high as 30%. In the poll, 38% of respondents thought "fair and efficiency are equally important", 34% of respondents think should be "fair" efficiency is preferential, give attention to two or morethings.

Although official caliber of digital display, private economy in almost every sector accounted for the increase, but there are still 67.7% of the respondents thought the domestic existing "guo jin min tui" problem. 77% of respondents think the proportion of state-owned economy is still too high, should fall further, only 5% of the economists argue that low proportion of state-owned economy.